
The Market You Can Actually Reach
A giant market number and a one percent assumption is the least convincing slide in fundraising. Build the market from the customers you can actually name.
· 2 min read
Building things on the internet — apps, experiments, and what they taught me.
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A giant market number and a one percent assumption is the least convincing slide in fundraising. Build the market from the customers you can actually name.
· 2 min read

Tim thinks a bad estimate is usually a sign that the thing was never one thing to begin with — it just presented as one.
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Projections where growth begins just after today are the most common financial slide and the least persuasive. The curve has to start behind you.
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Tim doesn't wait for finished, he waits for tested. The difference between shipping fast and shipping recklessly is whether you can catch what breaks before a customer does.
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Listing four ways you might make money reads as hedging. One model you can explain in a sentence, with a real price, beats four possibilities.
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Tim says yes to a big customer's roadmap ask because the revenue makes it hard to say no — and admits that saying yes has cost him more than the deal was worth, more than once.
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A solution slide has one job: answer the problem you just described. Feature tours impress the person giving them and nobody else in the room.
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Tim on the gap between what customers ask for and what they actually do — and why he now trusts behavior over requests, even though the requests still feel like the safer bet.
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Doctors stopped asking how pain feels and started asking for a number between one and ten. Pitch decks haven't caught up — quantify the pain or it doesn't count.
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Plenty of startups are built on a founder's private annoyance. A problem worth funding is someone else's, it costs them money, and they're already paying to avoid it.
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If your summary slide could belong to any company, it isn't a summary. It should be able to stand alone as the entire pitch if the meeting ended there.
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A market described in percentages is forgettable. Put one real person in the story and the numbers afterwards finally have somewhere to land.
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Every deck has a palette whether you picked one or not. Two colors used consistently read as a company; a template's defaults read as a first draft.
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Small type on a slide isn't a design problem, it's a decision problem. If the text has to shrink to fit, you haven't chosen what matters yet.
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On a video pitch, your setup is being judged alongside your company. Rehearse the camera, the light and the screen share the way you rehearse the words.
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Co-founders pitching together often correct and interrupt each other into a draw. Decide who owns which part before the room, and hand off on purpose.
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A memorized pitch survives exactly until someone interrupts it. Know the material well enough to answer out of order, not well enough to recite.
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Your clothes can't win a pitch, but they can spend the first ninety seconds talking over you. Dress to match the room so the room can hear the company.
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Having a "champion" inside an investor group only counts if you've actually reached out to them — an unclaimed advocate is just a name you're hoping will save you.
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In any room of investors, only a handful truly understand your industry — pitch to the majority who don't, but find the few who do and turn them into your champion before you present.
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Angel investors come from wildly different backgrounds and risk tolerances, so pitch to the majority in the room, not the two experts who already get it.
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Investor money often looks cheaper than a loan because you don't pay it back monthly — but a percentage of your company at exit can cost you far more than any interest rate ever would.
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The dollar amount founders ask investors for is often picked on instinct, like a lottery number — but it should come from the math of what equity actually costs you.
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A one-page investor summary that runs three pages has already failed — the value isn't the format, it's the discipline of deciding what didn't make the cut.
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If you can't finish "we make…" in under 12 words, your pitch isn't ready — the one-liner isn't a tagline, it's proof you understand your own business.
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An elevator pitch exists to earn a second conversation, not to close a deal on the spot — trying to sell in thirty seconds usually kills the sale.
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Most elevator close-door buttons aren't wired to anything. Neither is asking for a commitment at the end of a pitch. No company has ever been funded the day it presented — so stop asking for the check and start asking for Thursday.
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